Tuesday, 6 March 2018

The Yen - the greatest winner of future trade wars

Last week, President Trump shook the market with the imposition of imported duties for steel and other products. This immediately triggered talks about potential trade wars that have affected currency markets.
The potential US involvement in a trade war with other countries around the world has led to serious sales of US stock markets.
One currency, however, wins against all the tensions and has seen a serious appreciation over rivals. And that was the yen. According to investors and analysts, however, the appreciation of the yen is just beginning.
These events are largely reminiscent of what happened in the early 1990s when the US took protectionist measures against Japan.
The yen reached a record high of 79.75 yen per dollar in 1995, when similar protectionist actions were taken by the United States.
The proposed tariffs can reduce the US economy's growth by 0.2 percentage points next year, posing additional threats as to how US trading partners will react, analysts at Barclays Plc say.
In search of security, the traders turned to the yen, the Swiss franc and the euro. Trade-sensitive currencies, like the Canadian dollar, also declined.


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