Wednesday 23 May 2018

Long positions in the dollar are modern again

The bets on the dollar are again up-to-date after weakening the tension between the US and China and the postponement of the trade war.
In addition, the expectations are that the Fed will raise the interest rate at its next meeting in June, after failing to do so in May.
The dollar index added 2% since the beginning of the month to date, according to FactSet statistics.
The net long positions of speculators for the week until May 15 are again on a positive territory, for the first time since mid-March, just before the first quarter of Fed's interest rates hike for the year.
Better expectations are already evident in the spot market, where the dollar is booming, against the backdrop of the improvement in the interest rate differential, according to Jane Foley, Rabobank's chief currency strategist.
Investors are monitoring outgoing data for further evidence of the market sentiment and the future direction of green money.
In the first two weeks of May, leverage accounts held net long positions in dollars for the first time since January, according to Stephen Gallo, head of the Forex Trading Unit at IMO.
The US dollar is experiencing exceptionally strong growth, according to Mark Chandler, global strategist at Brown Brothers Harriman. This is a function of rising interest rates and the gradual rise in confidence that the Fed will raise interest rates three times this year, not twice as expected, the expert added.
The next Fed meeting on interest rates is on June 12-13. Futures indicate a 95% chance of raising interest rates by 25 basis points next month.


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