Showing posts with label trade war. Show all posts
Showing posts with label trade war. Show all posts

Monday, 16 July 2018

Mark Mobius: The trade war is a prelude to the next financial crisis

The veteran investor, Mark Mobius, has one warning for investors who quickly forgot what happened in February with the indexes.
According to the expert, the trade war between the US and China is a precursor to the next financial crisis. Still, worst in US-China relations is ahead, in the light of the imposition of new tariffs on Chinese goods worth more than 200 billion dollars.
The worst is yet to come, commented Mobius in an interview with Bloomberg.
What does Mobius mean by "the worst"?
Mobius expects a further 10% decline in emerging markets and, ultimately, a financial crisis in the US and around the world.
According to him, tensions between the US and China will rise, with Trump not giving up on his plans to impose tariffs. Inflationary pressures will rise from wage growth in an environment of full employment in the world's largest economy, says the investment expert.
Good news, according to Mobius, is that damages to stock markets will eventually be a good opportunity to buy. He himself is currently raising his capital to take advantage of these potential opportunities in the future.


Monday, 2 July 2018

The trade war threatens the reserve status of the dollar

The danger of a trade war between the US and China is again on the agenda. And this may play a bad joke to the appreciation of the dollar against other major currencies, according to analysts.
Moreover, President Trump's protectionist policy threatens the status of the US dollar as the main reserve currency.
The US has already introduced steel and aluminum duty and threatens to do so with other Chinese and European goods. Meanwhile, the two parties concerned are expected to take reciprocal action.
The use of the dollar has long brought about serious risks for countries like China, as witnessed by turbulence caused in the country in 2009 by the financial crisis.
China Central Bank, again warned of avoiding the dollar in 2013.
Otherwise, history shows that in a trade war, the dollar has seen a serious depreciation against other major currencies.
In view of the current strong increase in green money over the rest of the major currencies, the time to shorten the dollar appears to be quite appropriate.